Midterm Predictions: Who Deserves Your Vote

Midterms are coming, and it feels like the whole country is being held hostage by political ads.

You can’t watch a football game, stream a show, or listen to anything without being dragged into a campaign strategy designed to make you feel polarized. What Jolene and I are trying to do this midterm season is cut through the fear and get back to something more grounded. Because the media environment right now doesn’t just inform people; it shapes their nervous systems. Jolene made the point that the constant barrage is making us less informed, not more. It trains you to react. It trains you to panic. And it’s not a one-sided problem. Both sides use fear to rally their base, suppress the other side, and keep everyone in a permanent state of outrage.

Then there’s polling, which we think is kind of ridiculous at this point. Every day it’s “the race is tightening” or “the momentum is shifting”. But really, who even answers polls anymore? If the sample size is 800 to 1,100 people in a country of hundreds of millions, what are we actually measuring? Polls don’t clarify anything; they just feed the anxiety and give people another reason to either gloat or spiral before the midterms have even happened.

On a personal level, I’m feeling the same thing a lot of voters are feeling, which is the frustration of choosing between options that don’t feel great. In New York’s 10th Congressional District, I’ve had that “lesser of two evils” feeling more than once. Jolene reminded me this isn’t just a liberal problem or a conservative problem. It’s a system problem. Many people are disillusioned, and the system rarely rewards candidates trying to serve the middle.

So we’ve been trying to shift from fear to facts. One thing that’s helped is going to more substantive sources that aren’t built to keep you hooked and furious. Gabe Fleisher’s Substack, Wake Up to Politics https://www.youtube.com/@wakeuptopolitics , is one of those places that feels grounded. It’s trying to help you understand what’s actually happening. And that matters, because the stories that scream “doom” if your side loses are usually the easiest to manipulate.

We’ve also been talking about how to pick who to vote for if we don’t really love any of the candidates. We’ve come to the conclusion that it’s still important to vote, even if you have to hold your nose. Educate yourself beyond the ads and the outrage clips. Use tools like Bridgegrades.org  to see which elected officials are actually working across the aisle, because if you want less chaos, you have to reward the people who aren’t addicted to it.

So here’s what I keep telling myself as the midterms get closer. The noise is not the truth. The loudest message isn't the most accurate. The most shocking ad is not the most important issue.

If you want to do something useful in a season like this, you have to slow down on purpose. Look past the production. Look past the emotional manipulation. Follow the money, notice who benefits from the chaos, and ask what the outrage is hiding.

Because this game isn’t fair. But you can still refuse to be played.

RESOURCES MENTIONED:

Gabe Fleisher's Substack Wake Up to Politics: https://open.substack.com/pub/wakeuptopolitics/p/everyone-thinks-theyre-going-to-win?r=n7so4&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email

Gabe Fleisher’s YouTube Wake up to Politics:

https://www.youtube.com/@wakeuptopolitics 

We Made This Political Podcast: https://wemadethispolitical.substack.com/p/ep-68-gabe-fleisher-on-saving-political 

Isaac Saul:The Dark Side Behind Fear Based Political Ads https://youtu.be/vbMCeI19PPE?si=vaIQimN8HPU-7zJ7 

Tangle: https://www.instagram.com/p/Deu29OvDw1m/?img_index=3 

Bridge Grades: https://www.bridgegrades.org/ 

Brad Porteus: https://youtu.be/g4kH4AFXqNs?si=7NtBFT4VRICC7SmZ 

Marc Goldwein: https://youtu.be/PH8naCqamcE?si=HV05zuJ7-4G_B_wm 

Watch Midterms Live here: https://www.youtube.com/@MoNews 

City Cast Salt Lake City podcast: https://saltlake.citycast.fm/

We’ve Got To Talk - Where To Find Us :

Instagram https://www.instagram.com/wevegottotalk/ 

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/weve-got-to-talk/id1797423701

Spotify:  https://open.spotify.com/show/0qJVgTvjciUffRmoUienx2

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